Researchers from the Norwegian Business School in Oslo have created a mathematical model of climate change, according to which, after the cessation of all emissions, temperatures will continue to rise for at least another 100 years.
The researchers used information about the climate from 1850 to the present day in their model. Based on this, they predicted how global temperatures will change and how much sea level will rise before 2500.
As a result, it turned out that if the peak of greenhouse gas emissions will be around 2030, and by 2100 will fall to zero, then by 2500 global temperatures will still be three degrees higher, and the sea level will be two and a half meters higher than in 1850. … And this is the most favorable prognosis.
Despite the fact that some of the carbon dioxide from the air will be absorbed by biomass, soil, and oceans, this will not stop global warming in any way. The point of no return was passed before 2020.
According to the authors of the article, there are three reasons why global warming is not so easy to stop:
- The Earth albedo decreases due to a decrease in the ice area
- The content of water vapor in the atmosphere increases due to rising temperatures
- The amount of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere is increasing due to carbon emissions from the degradation of permafrost.
Scientists are calling to stop climate change. For this, it is necessary not only to stop all anthropogenic emissions but also to catch and utilize 33 gigatons of carbon dioxide from the air every year.